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Cumulative Delta (CVD)

What it is

Every trade on an exchange is someone who came in "at market" and took another person's order: bought from the ask or sold into the bid. CVD adds such market buys with a plus sign and market sells with a minus sign and keeps a running total. A rising line means more buying at market, a falling one means more selling. It is not a forecast, but a record of who was more persistent.

More: how we calculate it

Dots on the lines are crossings: where a line crosses zero and where lines on the same scale cross each other. Hover over a dot to see the time and what crossed what. They are turned off in the pane settings ("crossing points"). Spot and futures are not compared with dots while spot is on its own scale; the switch is a chip by the legend: "spot: own scale" or "same scale as futures". The pane scale follows the visible segment and only its own lines, with margin above and below; the dashed price line uses its own scale on top and does not affect the scale. Under the crosshair are the line values at that point, from the same starting point as the pane itself.

What it looks like in EVA

candles — price; below, the CVD pane: light line — futures, dashed — spot, in dollars for the visible period
BTC · 1h · 08.10 15:00 MSK — candles — price; below, the CVD pane: light line — futures, dashed — spot, in dollars for the visible periodShow on chart

How it is read

Four typical patterns: how traders read them and use them, and for each one a real moment from our history where it played out as a "textbook case". Moments where the same pattern failed are below, in "When it does not work".

1. Delta rises with price (or falls with it)

How it is read: the move is backed by market trades — price is driven by those willing to pay the spread. Many traders consider such a move "real" and look for an entry in the direction of the move on a pullback, not against it.

over 12 h price −3.31%, CVD the same way; then a 1% continuation after 4 h
textbook caseETH · 1h · 07.10 16:00 MSK — over 12 h price −3.31%, CVD the same way; then a 1% continuation after 4 hShow on chart

2. Price higher, delta lower — bearish divergence

How it is read: price made a new high, but there were fewer market buys on it than on the previous one. Read as "the buyer is running out of steam": here many look for a short or take profit on a long.

previous high 04:00, new one 18:00; then price moved 1% down after 7 h
textbook caseBTC · 1h · 06.10 18:00 MSK — previous high 04:00, new one 18:00; then price moved 1% down after 7 hShow on chart

3. Price makes a new low, delta does not (bullish divergence)

How it is read: market sellers press weaker than at the previous low. Here many look for a long or close a short.

previous low 07:00, new one 16:00; then price moved 1% up after 17 h
textbook caseBTC · 1h · 26.09 16:00 MSK — previous low 07:00, new one 16:00; then price moved 1% up after 17 hShow on chart

4. Sharp delta spike without price movement — absorption

How it is read: a lot of market buys (or sells) came in, but price barely moved — they were "eaten" by limit orders on the other side. Read as resistance (or support): many expect a move against the flow.

No "textbook case" moment for this pattern was found in our history over the last month — an example where it failed is below.

When it does not work

No pattern works every time: CVD explains who moved the price better than it tells you where it will go.

The same four patterns — moments from our history where they failed.

over 12 h price +2.93%, CVD the same way; then a 1% reversal after 3 h
pattern failedBTC · 1h · 02.10 07:00 MSK — over 12 h price +2.93%, CVD the same way; then a 1% reversal after 3 hShow on chart
previous high 11:00, new one 17:00; then price moved 1% up after 18 h
pattern failedBTC · 1h · 05.10 17:00 MSK — previous high 11:00, new one 17:00; then price moved 1% up after 18 hShow on chart
previous low 23:00, new one 08:00; then price moved 1% down after 8 h
pattern failedETH · 1h · 05.10 08:00 MSK — previous low 23:00, new one 08:00; then price moved 1% down after 8 hShow on chart
CVD dropped sharply over the bar, while the bar body was 0.093%; then 1% with the flow after 2 h
pattern failedSOL · 1h · 07.10 13:00 MSK — CVD dropped sharply over the bar, while the bar body was 0.093%; then 1% with the flow after 2 hShow on chart

Common traps

See also